Keywords interventional radiology - interventional radiologist - Saudi health care system -
Saudi Arabia - IR - 2030 - future needs - physician - ministry of health - MOH
Background
The health care sector in Saudi Arabia (SA) is one of the most important and advanced
sectors in the Middle East. It has shown remarkable progress in the infrastructure
over the past 10 years, in which the GDP per capita had reached $23,311.[1 ] The total budget of the Ministry of Health (MOH) in 2021 had increased around 19%
compared with that of 2017, which represents 8.6% of the government budget. Health
care in SA is provided by three main sectors: the first and largest is the MOH, followed
by other governmental sectors (OGS; i.e., Armed Forces Medical Services under the
Ministry of Defense [MOD], National Guard Health Affairs under the Ministry of National
Guard [MNG], Ministry of Interior Medical Services [MOI], King Faisal Specialist Hospital
& Research Center [KFSHRC], Royal Commission [RC] Hospitals, Johns Hopkins Aramco
Health Care [JAHA] Hospital, Ministry of Education [MOE], and other small governmental
sectors), and finally the private sector (PS).
The number of hospitals in SA has increased by 14% in the past 10 years in all sectors,
which translates to 26% increase in bed capacity as illustrated in [Table 1 ].[1 ]
Table 1
Number of hospitals and beds in Saudi Arabia
2012
2021
Percentage increase
Hospitals
435
497
14.3
MOH
259
287
10.8
OGS
39
51
30.8
PS
137
159
16.1
Beds
61,036
77,889
27.6
MOH
35,828
45,330
26.5
OGS
11,043
14,005
26.8
PS
14,165
17,889
26.3
Abbreviations: MOH, Ministry of Health; OGS, other governmental sectors; PS, private
sector.
The overall number of physicians has significantly increased in the past 10 years
by 71% from 71,518 in 2012 to 122,356 in 2021.[1 ] This was paralleled by an increase in the number of radiologists. Currently, there
are 3,255 radiologists distributed across different regions of SA. There are 2,510
radiologists in the MOH and PS ([Table 2 ]). The number of radiologists in OGS is 666 ([Table 3 ]).
Table 2
Number of radiologists in MOH and private sectors
Region
Total number of radiologists
MOH
PS
Riyadh
310
304
Holy Capital
117
60
Jeddah
109
220
Ta'if
73
26
Madinah
83
59
Qassem
119
28
Eastern
115
179
Hafr Al-Baten
16
10
Aseer
93
45
Bishah
27
1
Tabouk
44
12
Ha'il
49
19
Northern
35
7
Jazan
76
18
Najran
60
11
Al-Bahah
37
3
Al-Jouf
36
4
Qurayyat
10
0
Qunfudah
18
0
Total
1,479
1,031
Abbreviations: MOH, Ministry of Health; PS, private sector.
Table 3
Number of radiologists in other governmental sectors
Other governmental sectors
Total number of radiologists
Armed Medical Forces Services
233
National Medical Guard Services
130
Ministry Interior of Medical Services
30
King Faisal Specialist Hospital
101
Royal Commission Hospitals
19
ARAMCO JAHA Hospitals
15
Ministry of Education
138
Total
666
The increasing number of radiologists in the past two decades allowed subspecialties
to expand. Interventional radiology (IR) has become a pivotal clinical service in
any health care facility. The United Kingdom workforce census report in 2019 indicated
that six interventional radiologists are required in each hospital to provide 24/7
coverage.[2 ] The Royal College of Radiologists (RCR) guidelines and the Cardiovascular and Interventional
Radiological Society of Europe (CIRSE) recommend having a formal schedule of ∼1:6
call frequency to provide off-hours IR coverage with a safe and reliable service.[3 ] Nonetheless, the number of IRs in SA is barely enough to provide emergency services,
respond to patients' routine needs, and cover 24/7 services in some of the major hospitals
in major cities.
This article highlights the current status of IR in SA, and the future potential of
our health care system to provide a safe and effective, elective, and emergency IR
services in most of the Saudi hospitals. Although the focus here is on physicians,
one should not ignore the comparable need for allied health professionals, interventional
radiology nurses in particular.
Current Scope and Demand for IR in Saudi Arabia
The value of IR is well established by shortening the length of stay through minimally
invasive care. IR clinics and admission privileges became integral parts of the IR
training and practice.
Due to the continuous increase in the number and complexity of elective and emergency
IR procedures, clinical duties, scope of service, and afterhours coverage in the past
15 years, the specialty has realized a great deal of interest from trainees and institutions
alike.
To cope with the increasing demand, a group of senior interventional radiologist worked
with the Saudi Commission for Health Specialties (SCFHS; the accreditation body for
graduate medical education) to establish a 2-year accredited IR fellowship program.
The program started in 2014 with two fellows in two accredited centers. Today, there
are 9 accredited centers accepting 15 candidates per year, with a total of 141 IRs
distributed in all health care sectors as demonstrated in [Fig. 1 ].
Fig. 1 Number of interventional radiologists per sector in every region.
Despite this great evolution, assessment of the current needs and future demands remains
challenging. Sunshine et al suggested that the estimated number of needed interventional
radiologists should be at least 10% of the number of radiologists.[4 ] If we apply the same principle, then we ought to have nearly 320 IRs from the 3,255
practicing radiologists in SA, which is nearly 180 physicians short of the current
number across all sectors ([Fig. 2 ]). One should keep in mind that these data were published in 2004 when IR was not
as diverse or complex as it is today. Many procedures have evolved since then and
the role of IR have expanded significantly.
Fig. 2 The estimated deficiency of interventional radiologists in different health care
sectors (MOH, Ministry of Health; OGS, other governmental sectors; PS, private sector).
Another way to estimate the number of IRs needed is per capita as postulated by Avrin,
who proposed that 1 interventional radiologist is needed per 100,000 population.[5 ] This translates to 340 IRs needed to serve the 34 million people in SA, with a total
deficiency of 188 IRs. This analogy resulted in a comparable number with the previous
principle using the number of radiologists as a reference.
The geographic distribution of interventional radiologist in the United States varies
significantly. Nearly 85% of U.S. counties lack IR services.[6 ] Similarly, the geographic coverage of interventional radiologist differs significantly
across SA ([Table 4 ]). Contrasting the number of radiologists and IRs in SA to that of the United States
as a proposed benchmark highlights the current shortage in IR services and the urge
to act to fill the gap ([Table 5 ]).
Table 4
The estimated deficiency of interventional radiologists (interventional radiologist)
per location
Region
Population
No. of IRs
Needed no. of IRs
Deficiency
Riyadh
8,660,885
58
86
28 (33%)
Makkah/Jeddah/Qnfudah/Ta'if
9,033,491
33
90
57 (63%)
Madinah
2,239,923
7
22
15 (68%)
Qassem
1,488,285
1
14
13 (92%)
Eastern/Alahsa/Hafer Al- Baten
5,148,598
26
51
25 (49%)
Aseer/Bisha
2,308,329
4
23
19 (82%)
Tabouk
949,612
0
9
9 (100%)
Ha'il
731,147
1
7
6 (86%)
Northern
383,051
0
4
4 (100%)
Jazan
1,637,361
3
16
13 (81%)
Najran
608,467
2
6
4 (67%)
Al-Bahah
497,068
1
5
4 (80%)
Al-Jouf/Qurayyat
531,952
2
5
3 (60%)
Total
34,218,169
137
338
201 (59%)
Table 5
The estimated deficiency of interventional radiologists (IRs) in the United States
compared with Saudi Arabia
United States
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Population
325 million
34 Million
No. of radiologist
29,530
3,255
No. of IRs
3,000
141
Percentage of IRs
8.5–11.5%
4%
Needed no. of IRs
>3,000
325
In 2030, the population of SA is expected to rise to 39 million at minimum. If the
number of yearly graduates from the local fellowship persisted at 15 per year, 105
interventional radiologist will be added to the existing workforce of 141 for a total
of 246 interventional radiologist. Although the number is promising, it would remain
short by 130 to 150 interventional radiologist (∼30–40%) from the needed number (375–390
interventional radiologist) based on the above-mentioned principles.
The limitation of this report is the lack of a validated principle to accurately calculate
the numbers needed. However, similar reports were referenced to minimize the error
and approximate the gap.
In addition, using the number of radiologists as a reference may not be accurate since
IR is becoming a separate specialty with a distinct gamut of roles and responsibilities.
In the past 20 years, and since the referenced report was published, the specialty
has evolved significantly, that is, the needed number could be higher. Moreover, the
ambitious number of populations in 2030 can reach up to 50 million, which would require
more interventional radiologist.
Another limitation is that the provided data were collected manually using the Society
database, reinforced by direct communication to each sector and institution to the
best of our knowledge.
In conclusion, the current number of IRs in SA is considerably less than the needed
number, which poses a challenge to provide a 24/7 IR service coverage. The shortage
may improve but will continue through 2030 despite the successful local fellowship
training program. Failure to establish an easy access to IR services may compromise
patient care. Attention to satisfying the needs across all sectors and regions is
essential to realize the ambitious vision of 2030.
Recommendations
The Saudi Interventional Radiology Society sets forth the following recommendations
to enhance the current IR capacity and access to IR services in all sectors and across
all regions:
Encourage centers in all health care sectors that have the capabilities and meet the
SCFHS requirement to apply for the IR fellowship accreditation and participate in
IR training.
Encourage the current accredited training centers to increase their training positions
without compromising the quality or the number of required cases.
Increase awareness among medical students and radiology residents to further increase
recruitment of trainees.
Facilitate external scholarships for IR residency or fellowship training.
Encourage direct hiring of full-time interventional radiologist to bridge the existing
gap, especially in the PS and peripheral centers, where IR services are scarce or
unavailable.
Encourage practicing interventional radiologist to provide cross-coverage in the PS
in compliance with the national regulations.