Keywords
pulmonary embolism - diagnosis - diagnostic imaging - perfusion - prognosis
Introduction
Computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) is the current imaging modality of
choice for the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (PE).[1] In recent years, technical advances have been made in the diagnostic management
of PE including the introduction of computed tomography pulmonary perfusion (CTPP)
imaging. With CTPP additional information of hemodynamic and functional impact of
the PE as expressed by measures of pulmonary perfusion can be assessed.[2]
Available studies using CTPP have mostly focused on its diagnostic performance for
acute PE. The addition of CTPP to CTPA has been reported to improve the specificity
for a PE diagnosis[3] and to improve the detection rate of small, subsegmental emboli.[4]
[5] Also, perfusion defects on CTPP were found to be correlated to PE thrombus load
and signs of right ventricular dysfunction on CTPA.[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
[10] Therefore, perfusion defects on CTPP may be relevant for prognostication of PE patients
as well, although this is less well studied. For instance, the quantification of perfusion
defects may predict PE-related death, hemodynamic collapse, or need for oxygen therapy.
This information is relevant for initial risk stratification and treatment or to consider
home treatment in patients with good prognosis.[11]
In this study, we aimed to evaluate the correlation between perfusion defects on CTPP
and clinical symptoms at presentation and its predictive value for adverse short-term
outcome of acute PE.
Patients and Methods
Study Design and Population
This was a prospective observational study in a convenience sample of 100 consecutive
hemodynamically stable adult patients (≥18 years) with CTPA-confirmed acute symptomatic
PE, diagnosed between July 2017 and October 2019 in the Leiden University Medical
Center in whom CTPP was performed as part of routine clinical practice. Patients were
excluded in case of nonassessable CTPP scan due to imaging artifacts. The diagnostic
management of patients with suspected acute PE started with assessment of the clinical
pre-test probability in combination with D-dimer testing, following the YEARS algorithm.[12]
[13] In patients with CTPA-confirmed acute PE, anticoagulant treatment was started or
modified in patients already on anticoagulant treatment according to international
standards. The Hestia rule, consisting of 11 clinical criteria, was used to identify
low-risk PE patients for outpatient treatment.[11]
[14]
[15] This study was approved by the institutional review board of the Leiden University
Medical Center, and informed consent requirement was waived due to its observational
nature.
Primary and Secondary Aim
The primary aim was to investigate the correlation between quantification of CTPP-measured
perfusion defects with clinical symptoms at presentation and its predictive value
for adverse short-term 7-day outcome. The secondary aim was to investigate the added
value of CTPP reading to right ventricle to left ventricle diameter ratio (RV/LV ratio),
pulmonary artery trunk diameter and total thrombus load on CTPA for prediction of
intensive care unit (ICU) admission, reperfusion therapy, and PE-related mortality.
Furthermore, the correlation between PDS on CTPP and total thrombus load on CTPA was
evaluated.
Outcomes
For the primary outcome, clinical symptoms at presentation and adverse short-term
outcome were evaluated. Clinical symptoms included (non)pleural chest pain, dyspnea,
and hemoptysis. Adverse short-term outcome included hospital or ICU admission, need
for supplemental oxygen therapy or intravenous pain medication >24 hours, reperfusion
therapy, vasopressor or inotropic therapy, and PE-related death within 7-day follow-up.
All symptoms and outcomes were assessed from digital patient files.
For the secondary outcome, we assessed prognostic imaging signs on CTPA including
RV/LV ratio, pulmonary artery trunk diameter, and total thrombus load. The predictive
capacity of these CTPA clinical imaging signs and of PDS for the outcome of ICU admission,
reperfusion therapy, and PE-related mortality was evaluated.
Image Acquisition and Analysis
Since June 2017, CTPP is part of the standard CT angiography protocol in adult patients
with suspected PE at our hospital. CT examinations were performed on a 320-multislice
detector row CT scan (Canon). CTPP images were acquired by using subtraction technique,
in which the precontrast image is subtracted from the contrast-enhanced image. The
subtraction image is then color coded and fused with the CTPA images; normal perfusion:
yellow to orange, moderately decreased perfusion: red to pink, and severely decreased
or absent perfusion: purple to dark blue/black ([Fig. 1]).
Fig. 1 (A) Fused parametric perfusion map with computed tomography pulmonary angiography, axial
and (B) coronal image in a patient with an acute thrombus in the right lower lobe pulmonary
artery (encircled) with subsegmental reduced lung perfusion in the laterodorsal segment
of the right lower lobe.
For this analysis, CTPP and CTPA image reading was performed independently by two
different readers, who were unaware of presenting symptoms and occurrence of adverse
events. CTPP assessment was performed by a researcher (L.F.V.D) trained by an expert
thoracic radiologist (L.J.M.K.). Perfusion defects were quantified per segment by
using the score proposed by Chae et al and expressed as mean PDS in percentage.[10] To assess the interobserver agreement for PDS reading, CTPP images of 25 consecutive
patients were independently evaluated by a second reviewer (L.J.M.K.). RV/LV ratio,
pulmonary artery trunk diameter, and total thrombus load on CTPA were evaluated by
one expert thoracic radiologist (L.J.M.K.) with over 20 years of experience in pulmonary
CTPA reading. The maximum diameters of both the right and left ventricle were measured
in the standard axial view with measurement of the maximal distance between the ventricular
endocardium and the interventricular septum. The pulmonary artery trunk was measured
at its largest transverse diameter. The total thrombus load was assessed by using
the CT obstruction index according Qanadli et al.[16]
Definitions
Acute PE was defined as at least one filling defect in the pulmonary artery tree on
CTPA.[17]
[18]
[19] Pleural chest pain was defined as sharp chest pain that worsens during breathing.
Nonpleural chest pain was defined as pressure on or squeezing sensation in the chest.
PE-related death was defined as objectively confirmed clinically severe PE before
death in the absence of an alternative diagnosis.[20]
Statistical Analysis
Baseline characteristics are described as mean with standard deviation (SD) or median
with interquartile range. To evaluate the correlation between PDS to clinical symptoms
and adverse outcomes, the difference between the mean PDS with corresponding 95% confidence
interval (CI) in patients with versus without chest pain, dyspnea, and hemoptysis
and adverse short-term outcome was calculated. To evaluate the agreement in PDS scoring
between the two reviewers, the mean difference between PDS assessed by reviewer 1
and 2 was calculated.
The added predictive value of PDS to CTPA assessment for ICU admission, reperfusion
therapy, and PE-related death was assessed by comparing two prediction models. In
the first prediction model, CTPA parameters including RV/LV ratio, pulmonary artery
trunk diameter, and total thrombus load were included. In the second prediction model,
PDS assessment was added to these CTPA parameters. Multivariable logistic regression
analysis and the likelihood-ratio test were performed to assess the predictive value
of the two models for ICU admission, reperfusion therapy, and PE-related death and
whether PDS assessment significantly improved the predictive value of the model. Additionally,
to quantify the performance of the prediction models, we determined the discrimination
and calibration. Discrimination refers to the ability to discriminate between those
with and those without the outcome and calibration to the agreement between observed
outcomes and predictions. Discrimination was expressed with the concordance (c) statistic,
by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with
a 95% CI, with discrimination considered perfect if AUC of 1, good if AUC >0.8, moderate
if AUC 0.6 to 0.8, poor if AUC <0.6, and no better than chance if AUC = 0.5. Calibration
was assessed by using the Brier score, which ranges from 0 to 0.25, with a score of
zero signifies a perfect prediction model and a score of 0.25 a noninformative model.[21]
The correlation between PDS and total thrombus load was evaluated by using the Pearson's
correlation test. A two-sided p-value of p <0.05 was considered as statistical significant. All statistical analyses were performed
in SPSS version 25 (IBM, Armonk, New York, United States).
Results
Study Population
A total of 100 patients with CTPA proven acute PE were eligible for analysis. The
baseline characteristics of the 100 included patients are shown in [Table 1]. Four patients were transferred to another hospital within 48 hours because of logistical
reasons. Results for adverse short-term outcome were thus available for 96 patients.
The mean PDS of all included patients was 27% (SD = 13%) and mean Qanadli score was
30% (SD = 23%). Forty-nine patients (49%) had a RV/LV ratio >1 ([Table 1]). The agreement in PDS scoring between the two reviewers was good with a mean difference
in PDS of 4.2% (SD = 6.9%).
Table 1
Baseline characteristics of 100 patients with acute pulmonary embolism
Mean age (±SD), y
|
62 (16)
|
Male, n (%)
|
53 (53)
|
Median duration of complaints (IQR), d
|
2.0 (1–7)
|
Recurrent VTE, n (%)
|
17 (17)
|
Active malignancy, n (%)
|
27 (27)
|
Immobility for >3 d or recent long travel >6 h in the past 4 weeks, n (%)
|
24 (24)
|
Trauma/surgery during the past 4 wk, n (%)
|
22 (22)
|
Active inflammation/infection
|
3 (3)
|
Hormone (replacement) therapy, n (%)
|
7 (7)
|
Known genetic thrombophilia, n (%)
|
0 (0)
|
Outpatient
|
80 (80)
|
Mean PDS score (±SD), %
|
27 (13)
|
Mean Qanadli score (±SD), %
|
30 (23)
|
RV/LV ratio > 1, n (%)
|
49 (49)
|
Abbreviations: IQR, interquartile range; PDS, perfusion defect score; RV/LV ratio,
right ventricle to left ventricle diameter ratio; SD, standard deviation; VTE, venous
thromboembolism.
Primary Outcome
The prevalence of symptoms at presentation and adverse short-term outcome with associated
mean PDS are presented in [Table 2]. Of the 100 patients, dyspnea was present in 84 (84%), pleural chest pain in 55
(55%), nonpleural chest pain in 25 (25%) and hemoptysis in 6 patients (6.0%). A total
of 60 patients (60%) were admitted to the hospital, of whom 7 patients (7.3%) were
admitted to the ICU. Twenty-five patients (26%) were treated with oxygen >24 hours,
6 patients (6.3%) received intravenous pain medication >24 hours, 4 patients (4.2%)
received reperfusion therapy, and 3 patients (3.1%) needed vasopressor/inotropic therapy.
We did not find a relevant correlation between PDS and clinical presentation ([Table 2]). The PDS was associated with reperfusion therapy (16% higher PDS, 95% CI: 3.5–28%)
and PE-related mortality (22% higher PDS, 95% CI: 4.9–39%; [Table 2]). The PDS was not associated with the need for oxygen therapy, pain medication,
or vasopressor/inotropic therapy nor with ICU admission.
Table 2
Perfusion defect score in 100 acute pulmonary embolism patients and correlation to
presenting symptoms and short-term adverse outcome
|
Prevalence (%)
|
Mean (SD) PDS in % in patients with:
|
Mean (SD) PDS in % in patients without:
|
Difference (95% CI)
|
Symptoms at presentation (n = 100) and 7-day outcome (n = 96)
|
Pleural chest pain[a]
|
55 (55)
|
28 (14)
|
27 (12)
|
1.5 (−3.7 to 6.7)
|
Nonpleural chest pain[a]
|
25 (25)
|
32 (12)
|
26 (13)
|
5.5 (−0.41 to 11)
|
Dyspnea
|
84 (84)
|
28 (13)
|
25 (13)
|
3.4 (−3.7 to 11)
|
Hemoptysis
|
6 (6.0)
|
27 (14)
|
27 (13)
|
−0.74 (−12 to 10)
|
Hospital admission
|
60 (60)
|
28 (14)
|
27 (11)
|
0.92 (−4.4 to 6.2)
|
ICU admission
|
7 (7.3)
|
32 (19)
|
26 (12)
|
5.7 (−3.9 to 15)
|
Oxygen therapy >24 h
|
25 (26)
|
28 (15)
|
26 (12)
|
1.4 (−4.3 to 7.2)
|
IV pain medication >24 h
|
6 (6.3)
|
23 (12)
|
27 (12)
|
−4.6 (−15 to 5.7)
|
Reperfusion therapy
|
4 (4.2)
|
42 (14)
|
26 (12)
|
16 (3.5–28)[b]
|
Need for vasopressor therapy
|
3 (3.1)
|
34 (32)
|
27 (12)
|
7.6 (−6.8 to 22)
|
PE-related death
|
2 (2.1)
|
49 (19)
|
27 (12)
|
22 (4.9–39)[b]
|
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; CTPP, computed tomography pulmonary perfusion;
ICU, intensive care unit; PDS, perfusion defect score; PE, pulmonary embolism; SD,
standard deviation.
a Patients could have either pleural chest pain or nonpleural chest pain, or both at
the same time.
b Symptoms/outcome correlated to PDS on CTPP.
Secondary Outcome
The results from logistic regression and likelihood-ratio test are shown in [Table 3]. The first model including CTPA parameters alone was correlated to ICU admission
(Chi-square [χ2 ] = 17.1, degrees of freedom [df] = 3, p = 0.001). Model 2 was also correlated to ICU admission (χ2 = 17.9 df = 4, p = 0.001), but the predictive capacity hardly improved when PDS was added to CTPA
parameters (χ2 = 0.799, df = 1, p = 0.371). Model 1 including CTPA parameters and model 2 with addition of PDS assessment
were both able to predict reperfusion therapy (χ2 = 20.9, df = 3, p < 0.001 and χ2 = 24.1, df = 4, p < 0.001, respectively). However, the predictive capacity of the model did not improve
when PDS was added to CPTA parameters (χ2 = 3.22, df = 1, p = 0.073). Model 1 including CTPA parameters alone was able to predict PE-related
mortality (χ2 = 13.8, df = 3, p = 0.003). Model 2 was also able to predict PE-related mortality (χ2 = 19.3, df = 4, p = 0.001) and the addition of PDS scoring also increased the predictive capacity of
the model (χ2 = 5.44, df = 1, p = 0.020). The odds ratios including 95% CI of each CTPA parameter and PDS within
prediction model 2 for each adverse outcome are provided in [Table 3].
Table 3
Predictive value, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and Brier
score of model 1 (CTPA parameters including RV/LV ratio, pulmonary artery trunk diameter,
and total thrombus obstruction score) and model 2 (CTPA parameters and perfusion defect
score) and odds ratios for each parameter within model 2 for ICU admission, reperfusion
therapy, and PE-related mortality
|
Chi-square
|
df
|
Sign.
|
AUC (95% CI)
|
Brier score
|
Odds ratio (95% CI)
|
ICU admission
|
|
Model 1
|
17.1
|
3
|
0.001
|
0.852 (0.647–1.00)
|
0.042
|
|
Model 2
• RV/LV ratio
• Pulmonary artery trunk diameter
• Total thrombus obstruction score
• Perfusion defect score
|
17.9
|
4
|
0.001
|
0.876 (0.725–1.00)
|
0.043
|
6.27 (0.880–44.6)
1.03 (0.832–1.28)
1.07 (0.999–1.15)
0.955 (0.859–1.06)
|
Difference between model 1 and 2
|
0.799
|
1
|
0.371
|
|
|
|
Reperfusion therapy
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Model 1
|
20.9
|
3
|
<0.001
|
0.976 (0.938–1.00)
|
0.021
|
|
Model 2
• RV/LV ratio
• Pulmonary artery trunk diameter
• Total thrombus obstruction score
• Perfusion defect score
|
24.1
|
4
|
<0.001
|
0.984 (0.951–1.00)
|
0.013
|
65.4 (0.243–1.76 E + 4)
1.51 (0.866–2.63)
1.21 (0.975–1.49)
1.19 (0.947–1.49)
|
Difference between model 1 and 2
|
3.22
|
1
|
0.073
|
|
|
|
PE-related mortality
|
|
|
|
Model 1
|
13.8
|
3
|
0.003
|
0.989 (0.965–1.00)
|
0.010
|
|
Model 2
• RV/LV ratio
• Pulmonary artery trunk diameter
• Total thrombus obstruction score
• Perfusion defect score
|
19.3
|
4
|
0.001
|
1.00 (1.00–1.00)
|
<0.001
|
Not applicable due to low number of events
|
Difference between model 1 and 2
|
5.44
|
1
|
0.020
|
|
|
|
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence
interval; Df, degrees of freedom; ICU, intensive care unit; RV/LV ratio, right ventricle
to left ventricle diameter ratio.
The AUC for CTPA parameters to predict ICU admission was 0.852 (95% CI: 0.647–1.00),
0.976 (95% CI: 0.938–1.00) for reperfusion therapy and 0.989 (95% CI: 0.965–1.00)
for PE-related mortality. When PDS was added to the prediction model, these AUCs were
0.876 (95% CI: 0.725–1.00), 0.984 (95% CI: 0.951–1.00), and 1.00 (95% CI: 1.00–1.00),
respectively ([Table 3]). The prediction model including CTPA parameters had a Brier score of 0.042 for
ICU admission, 0.021 for reperfusion therapy, and 0.010 for PE-related mortality.
Prediction model 2 had a Brier score of 0.043 for predicting ICU admission, 0.013
for reperfusion therapy, and <0.001 for PE-related mortality ([Table 3]).
With the use of the Pearson correlation test, a positive correlation between the total
PDS and CTPA-assessed total thrombus load was found (r = 0.523, p < 0.001).
Discussion
We showed that perfusion defects on CTPP are correlated to reperfusion therapy and
PE-related mortality, and that the addition of PDS assessment to CTPA assessment of
RV/LV ratio, pulmonary artery trunk diameter, and total thrombus load improved the
predictive value of the model to predict PE-related mortality, but not ICU admission
nor reperfusion therapy. Moreover, perfusion defects on CTPP did not correlate to
clinical symptoms at presentation.
Risk stratification of patients with acute PE is crucial for deciding on the optimal
treatment, including hospitalization, close hemodynamic monitoring, and reperfusion
therapy.[1]
[22]
[23] Previous studies found that right ventricle enlargement (RV/LV ratio > 1.0) is associated
with an increased risk for PE-related mortality.[24]
[25]
[26] Current European guidelines therefore recommend the assessment of right ventricular
dimensions or function as part of initial risk stratification.[22] As previous publications have shown that CTPP-assessed PDS is correlated to RV/LV
ratio and total thrombus load,[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
[10] perfusion imaging may play a role in this risk stratification. Although our results
showed an improvement in the predictive capacity for PE-related mortality when PDS
was added to CTPA-reading, the improvement in AUC was only marginal. Furthermore,
we could not confirm an added value of PDS over CTPA assessment to predict ICU admission
nor reperfusion therapy. A possible explanation may be the low incidence of these
adverse outcomes (range between two and seven patients).
We also evaluated whether perfusion defects on CTPP were correlated to clinical symptoms
at presentation. This is relevant, as pain and dyspnea for which treatment with intravenous
pain medication, and oxygen therapy may be needed are also relevant for the decision
for hospitalization or home treatment.[27]
[28] However, an association between PDS and presenting symptoms could not be established.
Of note, as the generation of dyspnea and chest pain involve multiple underlying (complex
and not fully understood) mechanisms, a discrepancy between chest pain and dyspnea
and extent of perfusion defects in acute PE is possible.[29] PDS was also not correlated to hospital admission. However, the decision to admit
a patient to the hospital is often based on multiple variables, some not included
in this analysis, including pregnancy, active bleeding and the presence of a social
reason for treatment in hospital.
In current literature, the addition of CTPP to CTPA was found to improve the specificity
in the PE detection from 94% (95% CI: 89–97%) to 100% (95% CI: 100–100%) and the detection
of occlusive (sub)segmental pulmonary emboli.[30] CTPP was also evaluated for PE prognostication and was shown to be correlated to
adverse clinical outcome including ICU admission, all-cause and PE-related mortality,[7]
[31] but had no added value to RV/LV ratio to predict mortality.[32]
[33] Hence, based on our results and available literature, the application of CTPP seems
to be mostly relevant for the diagnostic management of acute PE rather than for prognostication.
Limitations of the study are its observational design and the use of a convenience
cohort without a specific sample size calculation. This latter may have resulted that
the study was underpowered to detect a correlation between PDS and clinical symptoms
and some adverse outcomes. On the other hand, the predictive value of perfusion defects
for reperfusion therapy and PE-related mortality may be overestimated due to the low
incidence of these adverse events and should therefore be interpreted with caution.
Furthermore, the presence of clinical symptoms was self-reported and not assessed
in a standardized manner, what may have introduced relevant bias. Bias may also be
present in the perfusion defect quantification as perfusion defects may not only be
the result of a PE but also of other pathology such as pneumonia. The strengths of
this study are its prospective design and the inclusion of all comers, which supports
the external validity of our findings. Also, CTPA and CTPP assessment was performed
by independent readers who were unaware of the clinical presentation and course.
In conclusion, PDS was not associated with clinical presentation of acute PE. However,
our data showed that CTPP-assessed PDS was correlated to reperfusion therapy and PE-related
mortality and improved the predictive value of CTPA reading for PE-related mortality,
but not for ICU admission or reperfusion therapy. Due to the limited number of adverse
events and the design or our study, our observations should be considered hypothesis
generating. Future larger studies including an upfront determined sample size calculation
are needed to determine the clinical relevance of PDS quantification on top of CTPA
assessment of right ventricle dysfunction in risk stratification of acute PE.