Summary
Background: Delayed patient recruitment is a common problem in clinical trials. According to
the literature, only about a third of medical research studies recruit their planned
number of patients within the time originally specified.
Objectives: To provide a method to estimate patient accrual rates in clinical trials based on
routine data from hospital information systems (HIS).
Methods: Based on inclusion and exclusion criteria for each trial, a specific HIS report is
generated to list potential trial subjects. Because not all information relevant for
assessment of patient eligibility is available as coded HIS items, a sample of this
patient list is reviewed manually by study physicians. Proportions of matching and
non-matching patients are analyzed with a Chi-squared test. An estimation formula
for patient accrual rate is derived from this data.
Results: The method is demonstrated with two datasets from cardiology and oncology. HIS reports
should account for previous disease episodes and eliminate duplicate persons.
Conclusion: HIS data in combination with manual chart review can be applied to estimate patient
recruitment for clinical trials.
Keywords
Patient accrual rate - hospital information system - clinical trial