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DOI: 10.1055/s-0035-1565070
Predicting Plasma Olanzapine Concentration Following a Change in Dosage: A Population Pharmacokinetic Study
Publication History
received 28 July 2015
revised 21 September 2015
accepted 28 September 2015
Publication Date:
27 October 2015 (online)
Abstract
Introduction: Due to high inter-individual variability in peripheral pharmacokinetic parameters, dosing of antipsychotics currently relies on clinical trial-and-error, and predicting antipsychotic plasma concentrations before changing a dose has been a challenge.
Methods: Patients with schizophrenia receiving a stable dose of olanzapine were included. 2 plasma samples were collected at 2 given time points for the measurement of plasma olanzapine concentrations. At least 7 days after a dosage change of olanzapine, a third sample was collected. The plasma concentration of the third sample was predicted in a blinded fashion using a mixed-effects model with NONMEM®, using the following information: the 2 baseline plasma concentrations, the interval between the last dose and blood draw, and clinical and demographic information.
Results: 31 subjects (mean±SD age=56.0±11.6; 19 men) were enrolled. The mean prediction (95% confidence interval) errors were 1.6 (−2.8 to 6.0) ng/mL. A highly significant correlation was observed between the observed and predicted concentrations of the third sample (r=0.91, p<0.001).
Discussion: Plasma olanzapine concentrations following an actual dosage change can be predicted in advance with a high degree of certainty.
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