Introduction
: After more than two decades of experimental work on a model with amphibians and
extremely diluted thyroxine, we now can refer to an independent metaanalysis by B.
Harrer from Berlin on the international replication record of that model. A detailed
account of the difficulties of this line of research has been published previously.
One experiment found to be reproducible both by ourselves (i.e. the initial team)
and by independent researchers inquires into the effect of thyroxine (T30x) (an ultra-high
dilution obtained by 30 successive steps of tenfold dilution according to instructions
of homeopathy) v analogously prepared water (W30x) in amphibians from highland biotopes. The purpose of Harrer's study was to replicate this experiment and to perform
a metaanalysis reanalyzing the results reported by the initial team and by the independent
researchers between 1991 and 2012.
Methods
: (A): The experiment was replicated by Harrer himself. Rana temporaria were taken
from an alpine biotope and were treated with T30x or W30x from the 2-legged stage
on by adding 3microL of probe dilutions per animal to the basin water at intervals
of 48h. Two end-points were considered: first, entry into the 4-legged stage, and
second, tail reduction. The experiment was performed blind.
(B): A reanalysis was performed of the results reported by the initial team (based
at that time at Graz University and the Graz Boltzmann Institute) and the independent
researchers including Harrer himself (R. van Wijk from Utrecht University, H. Lassnig
from the Federal Institute of Veterinary Medical Investigation Graz, C. Zausner-Lukitsch
from Vienna University, G. Bach, at the suggestion of KIKOM, Bern University, Harrer
from Patienteninformation fuer Naturheilkunde Berlin).
Results
: (A) As in previous experiments, a clear trend was found of T30x animals developing
more slowly (i.e. up to 6 h within 3 days) than W30x animals. Due to the small number
of animals, the differences were not statistically significant (p > 0.05). The effect
size, however, was large (d > 0.8).
(B) A total of 22 experiments were performed between 1991 and 2012, 15 by the initial
team and 7 by altogether 5 independent researchers. In most of these experiments (the
sole exception being two performed and reported by ourselves) a trend was found of
T30x-animals being slower than W30x-animals. The differences in the individual sub-experiments,
each involving 60–100 animals per group, were mostly not statistically significant
(p > 0.05). The pooled results of the initial team and those of the independent researchers
did show significant differences (p < 0.01 in either case). Pooled T30x values obtained
by the initial team were 10.1% smaller than W30x values (100%) (p < 0.01 and d > 0.8),
and pooled T30x values from the 5 independent researchers were 12.4% smaller (p <
0.01 and d > 0.8). Analogously, the number of animals entering the juvenile stage
with reduced tail was smaller for T30x than for W30x.
Conclusion
: A metamorphosis hormone diluted beyond Avogadro's limit using a process derived
from homoeopathy produced a clear trend of metamorphosis inhibition. This was observed
by 7 researchers from Austria, Germany, Switzerland and the Netherlands.
